Ezekiel Elliott Fantasy Outlook 2024: Projections, Stats, and Draft Advice

Ashley Hopkinson

ezekiel elliott fantasy outlook

Ezekiel Elliott has consistently been a crucial player in fantasy football since his impressive NFL debut, with his performance capable of significantly influencing a fantasy season.

This year, shifts in team dynamics, evolving offensive strategies, and his physical condition make his fantasy outlook particularly intriguing.

Managers need to analyze these factors, including the offensive line’s performance, the quarterback’s efficiency, and the emergence of new backfield talents, to determine if Elliott remains a top pick or if exploring other options is advisable.

As the season progresses, closely monitoring Elliott’s workload and production will be essential. His usage in red-zone situations and pass-catching opportunities could enhance his value.

Keep an eye on injury updates and coaching strategies, as these will further impact his consistency and potential.

Ultimately, Ezekiel Elliott’s fantasy value hinges on multiple evolving aspects, making him a high-risk, high-reward option. Staying informed on these factors will be pivotal for making savvy roster decisions.

Ezekiel Elliott’s 2024 Fantasy Outlook

Ezekiel Elliott’s performance in 2024 will be closely monitored by fantasy football managers. Evaluating his value at his Average Draft Position (ADP) is crucial for informed decisions.

Why Elliott Will Return Value at ADP

Elliott has a proven track record of high-level production. He’s consistently delivered strong stats, with over 1,000 rushing yards in four of his first six seasons.

Analyzing his role in the offense, it’s evident that he remains a central figure, often getting key carries in critical situations.

His receiving skills add another dimension, making him a dual-threat back. If the team’s offensive line stays healthy, Elliott could benefit greatly, providing solid returns at his current ADP.

Why Elliott Won’t Return Value at ADP

On the other hand, there are concerns that Elliott may not live up to his ADP. His efficiency has shown signs of decline, with yards per carry dropping each season since 2018.

The emergence of younger backs on the roster could lead to a decrease in his workload. Injury risks also loom large, given the physical toll his playing style demands. These factors combined could limit his opportunities and effectiveness, making him a potentially risky pick.

Is It Worth The Risk to Draft Ezekiel Elliott?

Drafting Elliott involves balancing potential rewards against inherent risks. He has high potential due to his experience and versatility, but his declining efficiency and increased competition are concerns.

Fantasy managers should assess the likelihood of a bounce-back season versus continued regression, consider team needs, alternatives, and personal risk tolerance.

Monitor preseason and training camp updates for insights into his form and stay updated on key injuries and team dynamics that may impact his role, ensuring a strategic investment.

Ezekiel Elliott’s 2023 Performance Analysis

Ezekiel Elliott’s performance in the 2023 season offers mixed insights for fantasy managers. Analysis of his key stats and trends is crucial for making informed decisions.

Key Stats and Trends

In 2023, Elliott recorded 1,067 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns over 17 games, averaging 62.8 rushing yards per game, a slight decline from previous years.

He had an 8.5% target share with 40 receptions for 287 yards, which did not significantly boost his fantasy output.

His red zone carries dropped to 29 from 45 in 2022, highlighting Dallas’s shift to a multi-back strategy. Additionally, his yards per carry fell to 4.0, raising concerns about his efficiency and future performance projections.

Best and Worst Performances

Elliott’s performance in Week 8 against Philadelphia was impressive, with 135 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns, demonstrating his potential for high fantasy points.

However, his worst game in Week 15 against San Francisco saw him gain only 28 rushing yards on 12 attempts, indicating inconsistency.

Elliott excels against weaker run defenses, averaging 75 yards per game, but struggles against stronger defenses, averaging 50 yards per game. This analysis is essential for making strategic decisions about drafting and managing him in the 2024 fantasy football season.

2024 Projections

Ezekiel Elliott’s fantasy prospects in 2024 include key metrics and statistical projections. His role and performance trends provide insight for fantasy managers.

Projected Points and Rankings

Elliott’s projected fantasy points for 2024 are around 220, based on expectations of 1,050 rushing yards, 8 touchdowns, and 35 receptions for 280 receiving yards. Ranked within the top 20 running backs, he is considered a valuable mid-round selection, with potential to rise in rankings with consistent performance behind a solid offensive line.

MetricProjection
Fantasy Points220
Rushing Yards1,050
Rushing Touchdowns8
Receptions35
Receiving Yards280
RB RankingTop 20

Weekly Outlook

Elliott’s weekly performance in fantasy football offers both high and low potential, averaging 13-15 points per game depending on matchups.

He can score over 20 points against weaker run defenses but may be limited to single digits against tougher defensive lines.

Consistency is key, influenced by game scripts and offensive line health. Fantasy managers should monitor weekly matchups and adjust lineups accordingly. Elliott is a reliable RB2 or flex option, providing stability in most formats.

Factors Affecting Elliott’s Performance

Several factors can impact Ezekiel Elliott’s fantasy performance in the 2024 season. Each aspect should be evaluated to understand his potential.

Team Dynamics

The overall health and efficiency of the Dallas Cowboys offense play a crucial role in Elliott’s performance. Changes in the offensive line, such as the return of injured starters or the incorporation of new talent, directly impact his rushing lanes and protection.

If the Cowboys maintain a balanced attack with both passing and rushing games, Elliott could see more opportunities for yardage and touchdowns.

Offensive Coordinator

A new offensive coordinator might alter play-calling tendencies. If the focus shifts towards a run-heavy scheme, Elliott’s workload could increase. Conversely, a pass-focused strategy might limit his rushing attempts but could boost his receiving targets.

Quarterback Play

Quarterback stability is essential for consistent offensive output. A healthy and effective Dak Prescott benefits Elliott by keeping defenses honest.

Strong quarterback play opens up rushing opportunities and ensures Elliott remains a threat in both rushing and passing scenarios.

Competing Running Backs

The presence of other running backs on the roster impacts Elliott’s snap counts and workload. If another running back begins to share carries, it could reduce Elliott’s total touches and fantasy points.

Tony Pollard’s Emergence

Tony Pollard’s increasing role in the offense might lead to a more balanced backfield. Pollard’s versatility and explosiveness can affect Elliott’s opportunities, especially in passing downs and change-of-pace situations.

Injury Risks

Injury risks to either Elliott or his backups could alter the dynamic. If Elliott stays healthy while others are sidelined, he might get more touches. Conversely, health issues can limit his availability and effectiveness.

By considering team dynamics and the roles of other running backs, fantasy managers can make informed decisions about drafting and using Ezekiel Elliott.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Ezekiel Elliott a good fantasy player?

Elliott averaged 15.9 PPR Fantasy points per game in the final six games of the season, which was good enough to make him a top-12 running back.

Why was Ezekiel Elliott cut from the Cowboys?

Elliott had seemed to take a step back in his explosion and production over the course of his new contract, and to most, it seemed that it was time for Elliott to find a more suitable home for his current skillset.

What’s up with Ezekiel Elliott?

Former Buckeye Ezekiel Elliott Receives Intriguing Projections with Cowboys Former Ohio State Buckeyes star running back Ezekiel Elliott is back with the Dallas Cowboys for the upcoming 2024 NFL season. After leaving… Cowboys expect Ezekiel Elliott to lead RB committee in 2024.

Why does Ezekiel Elliott wear a half shirt?

While that might seem like a bizarre fashion choice for a football player, the running back has a simple reason for his signature look. “I just don’t like how loose jerseys are at the bottom, so I just tuck it up and roll it,” Elliott told For The Win during his time at Ohio State.

How much did the Dallas Cowboys give Ezekiel Elliott?

Elliott has agreed to a one-year deal worth $3 million, including $2 million guaranteed, according to Clarence Hill of the Star-Telegram. That’s a big step down for Elliott, who made $70 million during his seven seasons with the Cowboys from 2016 to 2022.

Conclusion

Ezekiel Elliott’s fantasy outlook for 2024 offers both potential and caution. As a mid-round pick, he’s valued for consistent performance, but concerns like injuries, team dynamics, and Tony Pollard’s role should be considered.

Key factors include pre-season reports, health updates, and offensive line performance. While Elliott has significant potential, having a backup plan is essential. Fantasy managers should monitor their workload, training camp developments, and matchups in the competitive NFC East.

Balancing Elliott with roster depth and staying updated on waiver wire options and potential trades will enhance strategic flexibility. Early season assessments will help gauge his fantasy viability.

Moreover, staying vigilant about weekly matchups and defensive rankings can offer critical insights.

Keeping an eye on red zone opportunities will also provide a clearer picture of Elliott’s scoring potential. Adapting strategies as the season progresses ensures optimal utilization of his strengths.

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Ashley Hopkinson

Ashley Hopkinson is an esteemed American Football coach at South Gloucestershire and Stroud College. With a passion for the game and a dedication to mentoring young athletes, Ashley has played a pivotal role in developing the college's football program. His expertise and motivational skills have not only enhanced players' performances on the field but also fostered a strong team spirit and work ethic. Under his guidance, the team has achieved significant success, reflecting his commitment to excellence and sportsmanship. LinkedIn

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